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Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication

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To inform, not persuade


To make good decisions, we all need good evidence which is clearly communicated. At the Winton Centre we have been working with institutions and individuals to improve the way that important evidence is presented to all of us.

The Winton Centre has been a fixed-term project and closed at the end of December 2022. We have always worked closely with other institutions to ensure that all our projects have a long-term future.




In 2023, some of the team have continued to work to deliver and hand-over the projects we have worked on with the NHS. The last of these will finish in December 2023. We will also be awarding the last of the Harding Prizes for trustworthy communication (entries open until 30th January 2024).

You can find resources and more about our work using the menu bar on this page, but we have also produced a series of leaflets outlining many of our major projects which you can download here:


Leaflets about our work on risk communication in healthcare

The actual decision support tools themselves you can access here,

which sit alongside our Training courses for healthcare professionals

Leaflets about our work on risk communication in journalism

Leaflets about our work on uncertainty communication

Leaflets about our work on communication of natural hazards and disasters, and risk management

Leaflets about our work on evidence communication in legal cases

Leaflets about our work on evidence communication in policy-making



Elsewhere on the site, in Our Resources you will find tools and best-practice guides tailored specifically for lawyers, healthcare professionals, journalists and those in the civil service or policymaking.


In Our Projects you can explore the full range of our partnerships, applied work and published research.

Risky Talk


Listen to our Winton Centre podcast RiskyTalk to hear experts discuss the problems of communicating risks in a broad range of fields.



If you think you're risk-savvy, test yourself with our quick quizzes for legal professionals, medical professionals, or journalists.

Can You Handle the Evidence?

Test your skill at navigating evidence-by-numbers with one of our quick quizzes.

Journalists & Press Officers
Do you know your absolute from your relative risks? Your ORs from your HRs? Test yourself here.
Medical Professionals
You know the difference between sensitivity and specificity, but what about lead-time and overdiagnosis bias? Examine yourself here.
Legal Professionals
Given a positive DNA match, what’s the likelihood of innocence? Check your grasp of forensic evidence & probability here.

Latest news

New NHS Decision Support Tools released!

22 November 2023

The Winton Centre have produced a suite of decision support tools for NHS England to help patients take part in share decision making.

Harding Prizes for useful and trustworthy communication in 2022 awarded!

20 April 2023

After casting the net wide across the world, the judges awarded the 2022 Harding Prize for Trustworthy Communication to an interactive calculator from the Institute of Fiscal Studies and a report from the Parliamentary Office of Science & Technology.

View all news

Our projects

One of the uncertainties that we inevitably have about a claimed fact or number is how strong the evidence is that that fact or number is correct. How does such uncertainty affect people's trust and behaviour? And how can we communicate that strength of evidence?

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Uncertainty is inherent in all quantitative measures, and is vital to communicate in order to allow people to make their decisions in the light of the reliability of the evidence, but does communicating uncertainty confuse, and undermine trust?

Read more

View all projects