Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication
News
The numbers dying from Covid-19 are in the headlines daily. Help restore some perspective with this comparison of deaths from a range of more familiar causes. Prepared by Professor David Spiegelhalter and María Del Carmen Climent.
The Winton Centre and our sister centre in Berlin, the Harding Center for Risk Literacy, have worked together to put to the test a format for communicating the pros and cons of medical treatments, called a 'Fact Box'. We wanted to confirm in the most rigorous test we could imagine, that this format really was better than text - and …
At the end of last week we collected data from 700 people in each of the UK and US on how they were responding to the risk of the coronavirus, and their governments’ reactions.
Over the weekend, we’ve collected the same data from more countries: Australia, Mexico, Spain, Germany and Italy (with the same caveats about the sampling — see …
Anne Marthe van der Bles and others from the Winton Centre team carried out empirical work, including experiments on the BBC News website, to see how people responded to the communication of uncertainty around facts and figures. Even though people recognised that the evidence was more uncertain, it did not undermine their trust in the facts or in the communicator …
David Spiegelhalter puts the COVID-19 risk in perspective:
https://medium.com/wintoncentre/how-much-normal-risk-does-covid-represent-4539118e1196
It’s always useful to remember that we’re all going to die sometime, and the rate at which we do so is faithfully recorded in the life tables provided by the Office For National Statistics. The recent report by researchers from Imperial College London provided estimates of the age-specific risks of dying …