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George Farmer

Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication

People

Dr George Farmer

George Farmer

George Farmer obtained a PhD in psychology from the University of Manchester in 2015, and now conducts research into human judgement and decision-making. He has published work on how people understand chance, and how context affects decision-making. He is also interested in user interface design and has previously studied at University College London and the University of Sussex. He gained a research fellowship at the University of Manchester in 2018 and returned there, but retains Visting status with the Winton Centre.

Can You Handle the Evidence?

Test your skill at navigating evidence-by-numbers with one of our quick quizzes.

Journalists & Press Officers
Do you know your absolute from your relative risks? Your ORs from your HRs? Test yourself here.
Medical Professionals
You know the difference between sensitivity and specificity, but what about lead-time and overdiagnosis bias? Examine yourself here.
Legal Professionals
Given a positive DNA match, what’s the likelihood of innocence? Check your grasp of forensic evidence & probability here.

Latest news

How do Covid-19 deaths compare with those from accidents, flu and other causes of death?

13 July 2020

The numbers dying from Covid-19 are in the headlines daily. Help restore some perspective with this comparison of deaths from a range of more familiar causes. Prepared by Professor David …

New blog: It's the ignorance, stupid

22 April 2020

On February 20th, a group of Philip Tetlock’s superforecasters said the probability that one month later the WHO would report more than 200,000 cases of Coronavirus was 3%. They couldn't have been more wrong. Read Michael Blastland's latest blog on the topic of uncertainty.

Putting information into a 'fact box' format helps people understand and remember it better than plain text

25 March 2020

The Winton Centre and our sister centre in Berlin, the Harding Center for Risk Literacy, have worked together to put to the test a format for communicating the pros and …

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