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COVID: daily counts of deaths for different places of death (updated 15th May)

Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication

COVID: daily counts of deaths for different places of death (updated 15th May)

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After a steep rise, there is a clear peak on April 8th, followed by a steady but slow decline. Deaths in care homes increasing around 2 weeks after hospitals, plateauing around 17th April. CQC data is erratic due to strong reporting artefacts, but likely that care-home deaths now similar to hospitals, and declining at a slower rate.

Further comments:

  • ONS death registrations run slightly higher than NHS reports, but smooth out the odd March 31st dip.

Limitations:

  • ONS data only covers registrations up to May 2nd, and so further deaths may be added.
  • NHS data only covers reports up to , and so further deaths will be added, particularly to the final few days.
  • CQC is day of report, rather than actual day of death, which shows strong weekend effects.

Data sources: